I don’t know who originally said that ‘oppositions do not win elections, governments lose them’ but the 2024 UK General election has gone a long way to proving this statement. This election was for the Tories to lose and they did, big time.

It didn’t have to be this way. There could have been a better outcome but that could only be achieved by the Tories doing what they were damned well voted in to do which was to control the borders, have a sensible energy policy, manage the economy competently and stand up for the culture and society of Britain. They did none of this. Also because the Tories thought they could lie and lie and we would all continue to believe their lies there came a time when people decided to not believe the lies of the Tories on matters like migration or energy or the economy. On election day the public or rather the proportion of the public that turned out to vote, called the Tories bluff and either stayed home, voted for the other Big Two party or voted for a challenger party such as the Greens or Reform or voted for ‘independent’ candidates some of whom are a bit questionable.

Labour won this election by default. I don’t recall any election where there is so little real enthusiasm for either the Tories or Labour. Labour didn’t win this election on the grounds that their policies were better or that they would be more competent in managing the country than the Tories, the won because they were not the Tories. They also got approximately 2 million less votes in the 2024 General Election than Labour got in 1992 under Neil, now Lord, Kinnock. The 1992 election also had a turnout of 77.7% where as the 2024 contest had a turnout of 59.9%. As many of us expected, the Apathy Party has played a significant part in giving us a Labour government.

Labour also gained seats due to the collapse of the Scottish National Party (SNP) as the Scots turned back to Labour after decades of unfavourability among voters. They most likely did this because of the ideological excesses and stench of corruption and incompetence that has negatively affected the lives of Scots under the SNP. The SNP’s policies of chicks with dicks in female prisons and the excess nanny statism along with the fiscal shenanigans that the party is embroiled in is what did for them. The problem for the Scots from here on in is that the next elections for the Scottish Parliament are not scheduled until 2026 which means that the poor Scots are stuck with the SNP until then. The other problem that the Scots face is that many of the hated and hateful policies of the SNP especially those regarding state intrusion into people’s lives and an adherence to the cult of trans, are supported by the Labour Party.

As regards Reform, they did far better than I had expected them to do. I expected them to take Clacton, unlike many parties Reform appear to have a great deal of local ground up and ground level support, certainly more than Labour has. However what I did not expect is for Reform to do so well. The election was sprung by Rishi Sunak much earlier than many of us anticipated and Nigel Farage had only returned as leader very close to the election day but Reform do not have as good a ground game as other minor parties such as the Lib Dems have got. Reform got five MP’s one after a tense recount and this could be a useful nucleus in Parliament to build on. The potential for building is there as Reform came second in 98 seats. You can tell that Labour in particular are worried about Reform building as they’ve already got ministers out on the mainstream media trying to make ‘Russia’ and ‘Putin’ smears stick on Reform.

Reform have the potential to be a serious challenger to Labour and its narratives, the five MP’s gained from a contest that was held at short notice and after having a leadership change and also a less than stellar ground game is impressive. The Tories are no real challenge to Labour at the moment as they are about to go through a period of intense political bloodletting which may not lead to them electing a leader who can listen to the British people in the way that Reform have done. Reform need to get their act together now because they are going to be on constant attack from the Establishment parties and their pets in the mainstream media. Reform need to get a branch structure and a between elections ground game going and make effective use of their massive social media audience.

The Lib Dems also did better than I expected and I suspect that they became the home of many protest votes from former Tories who didn’t want to vote Reform. I believe the Lib Dems also did well as the Lib Dems are very good at keeping their party and councillor and activists names right in the public eye between elections. The Lib Dems have a good recognition factor even if in my opinion their policies are crap, this is what helps them at election time and its something that I believe Reform need to do as well.

Because the Lib Dems are the traditional repository of votes from those who don’t think of themselves as ‘political’ they always seem to do OK when there’s dissatisfaction with both Tory and Labour Parties. They are in my view the protest vote toilet bowl. I wonder how many of these protest oriented Lib Dem voters will start to regret their choices when they start to have to suffer the sort of anti motorist and anti business policies that have by all accounts severely harmed the city of Bath? I also suspect that there were quite a few protest voters for the Lib Dems that also have no idea about the enthusiasm the Lib Dems have for mutilating and sterilising children via the cult of trans which has a firm foothold in the party. Politically the Lib Dems were up for election at the right time when there was disgust at both Labour and the Tories but it remains to be seen whether the Lib Dems can hang onto these seats next time after constituents have experienced a five year term of Lib Dem representation.

The Greens did OK with four MP’s including Ellie Chowns unseating Bill Wiggin in North Herefordshire an MP who has been in post since 2010. I wonder if this could be down to just generally being tired of the long serving MP and disappointment with the Tories. I drove through this constituency a few weeks ago and what I noticed is that the majority of placards supporting the Greens were on some extremely expensive houses, not more modest homes. If what I saw was representative of Green support then it’s likely that those who voted for the Greens are the ones who can afford their quite mental policies. Bristol as was expected elected the Green’s Carla Denyer to Parliament which I suspect will do little to change the image of Bristol as a crime and communism infested shithole.

One of the most concerning aspects of this election is not the low turnout or a big intake of Lib Dems or voters choosing to vote Green when voters in other parts of Europe are rejecting Green ideology, it’s the rise of confessional politics. Four individuals standing as independents but acting as an Islam party in all but name managed to get elected on a platform of opposition to Israel’s war against the terrorists of Hamas. The Islamic Jew-hate led Gaza obsessives have not only managed to get four MP’s but also came very close to unseating Labour MP’s Jess Phillips and Wes Streeting. I’ve also seen lots of video online showing supporters of these ‘independents’ getting into the faces of candidates that they see as being less supportive of Hamas and Gaza than they would like. At certain points some of the behaviour of the supporters of Islamic ‘independents’ has almost bordered on harassment. I doubt whether these Islamic MP’s are going to be much of an asset to the Commons and I suspect that they will do little for their constituents and their contributions to Parliament in the chamber will be basically all Islam all the damned time.

I recall back in around 2006/2007 arguing online with Socialist Workers Party members and supporters on a lefty wing blog about their decision to throw their lot in with Islamists which they did in large part to bring on board a group, radical and disaffected Muslims, which they could use to buttress the SWP’s version of a Marxist revolution. I argued against this course of action as I said that nothing good will come of promoting a form of politics that elevates confessional belief above issues such as class or sex or the stuff that concerns all and not just some as in the case of religion based politics. Although I’m not a supporter of the left wing group the Alliance for Workers Liberty I do agree with their criticism of the SWP’s decision to align itself with radical Islam, but I’m considerably less anti-clerical than they are although I can understand where they are coming from philosophically.

However although the SWP got on board very publicly with radical Islam that doesn’t mean that other parties are exempt from this sort of Islamopandering. The Labour Party has not for nothing been nicknamed the Islam Party by some as they’ve been strongly Islamophilic for a while now in order to keep the Muslim votes flowing into the box marked Labour. The arrival of distinctly Islamic and Islam focussed MP’s is an almost direct result of Labour pandering to the Islamic community. Labour pandered to Islam for votes but are now being abandoned by the more extreme elements of this community when Labour will not kow tow to them over Israel or if Labour refuse to engage in the sort of Jew hatred which is sadly common in Islamic societies both in regular Islamic lands and in the West. When Labour were not perceived as pandering enough to the ideology of Islam, the more extreme elements of Islamic communities voted for specifically Islamic candidates.

There was one bit of good news one bit of bad news from this election. First the bad news. Jeremy Corbyn retained his Islington seat. The ‘I love Jeremy’ personality cult that has been built up around Corbyn in Islington paid off and this friend of Hezbollah and Hamas will yet again be a presence in the Commons. The good news on the other hand is that George Galloway lost his seat despite much Islamopandering and foaming at the mouth about Gaza. At least his presence will no longer disgrace the Commons chamber. Also thankfully lost was the convicted criminal Claudia Webbe who, after being kicked out of the Labour Party, stood as an independent. She was beaten by the Tories in one of their few election day successes. The departure of Webbe will mean that not only will the Commons have lost a room temperature IQ member, but the public will no longer have a reason to mock her through the mediums of text and music about the things she’s done, said or been convicted or accused of.

It was it needs to be said a terrible election for the Tories. But as I have said in the beginning, this was not an election that was won by Labour because of the merits of their policies, Labour won because the Tories were so awful and in our political system dissatisfaction with one of the big parties often translates into the sometimes unthinking choice of the other major party.

I think that Britons are in for a bit of a torrid time under Labour. They didn’t inspire during the election and so far they are not inspiring in government. Sir Keir Starmer’s picks for Foreign Secretary and Justice secretary suggest that this government is going to be a government of all the talentless rather than all the talents.

I expect very little from this government and what I expect will be quite bad. Like all socialists the Labour party will govern repressively. I suspect that they will try to buy back the Muslim vote lost to the distinctly Islamic ‘independents’ by criminalising the criticism of Islam or by listening far too closely to the sort of Islamist Wormtongues of the sort which were quite recently caught out advising the Metropolitan Police. One of these advisors had, according to a November 2023 report in an Indian news outlet, even been allowed to be present in a Met Police Operations Room during pro-Hamas protests in London. It’s quite possible that some of the worst possible people from the worst currents within Islam will be bending the ear of this new Labour Government and I don’t see this ending well for anyone, neither those in the majority non-Muslim population nor for ex Muslims or the decent ‘Joe Mohammed from the tyre shop’ types of integrated and reasonable Muslim.

I reckon that Labour will be a shitshow in government. I wouldn’t wish this Labour government on anyone not on women, children, Jews, Christians, LGB’s or who works or who tries to save. Labour will govern Britain as a whole as it governed Wales and that’s badly.

But one question that I have is that although I’m pretty certain that Labour will be a governmental shitshow, how stable will this shitshow actually be. Labour despite having a massive majority is not a cohesive party any more. It cannot rely any more on mass support from one class, the working class and in any event Labour have driven away this class with their policies and their priorities. Labour is now a coalition both in Parliament and among its activists of aggrieved (often unnecessarily) Islamists and those adjacent to Islamism, the Middle Class ‘Hampstead’ Left, various race and religion grifters, morally vacuous political opportunists and the very far Left. Can that coalition hold? I’m really not sure. It’s quite possible that once the temporary need to keep the party’s nutbags out of the way during the election is over we are going to see a lot of examples of each faction flexing their internal party muscles with destructive infighting as the result. Neither the party nor the infighting will be good for the majority of the public especially if the Prime Minister caves in to the demands of various nutbags and gives us policies that harm the public or harm the nation.

Labour will I believe at some point also face some sort of legitimacy crisis. Labour got in on 33.8% of a 59.9% turn out. Although the new government is legitimately elected according to the rules of First Past The Post, the fact that it was elected by an absolute minority of the British people might come back to haunt it especially if Labour try to push through radical and unpopular economic, cultural and social policies that might not have the support of the majority of the British people. Labour’s support generally seems to be broad but not that deep. If there is some sort of legitimacy crisis then the number of Britons who see Labour as less of a political party and more like a cheerleading group for those with elite opinions, will grow. The perceived lack of electoral and democratic legitimacy of Labour, because an absolute minority have voted for it, might propel some back to the Tories or to a Reform party that could promote itself as a place for those voters who’ve been ignored, or discontent could manifest in extra-Parliamentary ways with protests and maybe civil disobedience. I very much doubt that what is coming politically will be in any way ‘fun’ and will might well be the sort of government that will make me wish that my wife and I had not turned down the offer of a house on the Golan Heights in Israel. I suspect that the various by-elections that are likely to happen in the next Parliament will be interesting to say the least. If Labour screws up or is seen to screw up then Labour may lose some of the seats they’ve gained to Tories, Reform and more worryingly more of the sort of Islamic ‘independents’ who do well if there is either a natural low turnout or where these Islamic ‘independents’ have intimidated opponents into not voting.

I don’t think that this is going to be a calm government or a calm Parliament. I think that it’s going to be a mess. Labour are not going to look at the fundamentals of what has gone wrong with Britain, they are going to tinker and tinker dangerously. Labour did this tinkering during the Blair and Brown years and we are still dealing with the problems that their tinkering created. We have issues with politicised civil servants and judges who seem to behave in some cases like activists, the transmutation of the House of Lords from a chamber of free minds into one of party cronies, border and social cohesion issues along with state funding of left leaning NGO’s. These are problems that all stem from the Blair and Brown years. The Tories both when they were in Coalition with the Liberal Democrats and when they governed alone should have repaired the damage of the Blair and Brown governments but they did not. They left much of New Labour’s questionable legislative policies in place. The Tories also continued to preside over the awful and bleakly comical situation where government money was being used to fund NGO’s that clearly hate the United Kingdom, its people and its culture. The Tories were sadly just as enthusiastic as Labour are for open borders, cocks in frocks, engaging in political fellatio with Islam and trying to sell or rather impose energy policy snake oil. Labour are going to be bad but so have the Tories which is why less people than should have been expected bothered to vote for them. If the Tories had behaved like well Tories and not tried to ape the Lib Dems or chase the votes of those who wouldn’t vote Tory in a million years, then we might not be looking at a potentially destructive Labour government doing potentially irreparable damage to what is left of this country.